A) We would compare the market to the forecast for the week or the time the trade occurred. A 1.75% change in a 1-day volume of the underlying asset is the same as a 20% change in the underlying SPDR futures index’s 1-day price movement (a 1.0% Change = $0.20 increase or lower, etc.). A higher number, higher magnitude trade, or higher change is a better indicator of a more important change for your individual position. B) We can use the difference between our forecast and the actual trade to derive the change in our expected future trade. This is usually the most important indicator of trading performance.
In the above example of a 1.75% change in 1-day volume, it means your initial trade was worth $10 less than the actual trade, so it shows that 1.75% of a 1-day price change is only worth $100 of profit if your forecast is the same as the actual trades. However, if it is actually worth $1200 or greater, you’re looking at a significant profit move. A trade of 1.75% is equivalent to the difference between your actual spot price and the value on market, and that is the point worth measuring when analyzing a portfolio. If you’ve done your homework, you’ll have a pretty good idea about what a particular trade is worth. In order to learn just how valuable this trade can be, then you should have a good trading system that knows how to predict, profit from, and trade a specific type of trend or uptrend (if available) for you. In other words, what trade is the most likely to happen in a certain timeframe?
I’ve been a fan of Japanese anime for quite a while now, and have seen quite a few shows through the years. To my knowledge, Owarimonogatari is the most memorable from the vast pantheon of anime I enjoy; and at last I had the opportunity to watch it in the flesh at Anime Toronto on Sunday, January 3.
This being Japan, the production values were of the highest calibre, with all the requisite anime-related details. Owarimonogatari manages these by combining the best of two worlds, both of which I believe have gone under the radar for many years. When I last picked up the show in 1998 (Owarimonogatari: Kyoto Winds) it was considered a niche show with a very low audience. By 2000, it had developed a truly cult following amongst anime nerds